Blaine Real Estate – 2026

Blaine Real Estate 2026: The “East vs. West” Market Shift

Target Keyword: Blaine MN Real Estate Market Forecast 2026

Secondary Keywords: New construction homes Blaine MN, Lexington Waters homes for sale, Blaine 105th Avenue redevelopment impact, buying a home in Blaine 2026

Author: Jacob Zwack, Minnesota Realtor®

​Executive Summary (AOE Widget)

Is Blaine a good place to buy a home in 2026?

Blaine is in a massive transition. The “Thrive on 65” project is disrupting traffic but promising long-term value. The market is defined by a split: older, more affordable homes west of Highway 65 versus rapidly appreciating new construction in “East Blaine” (Lexington Waters). With interest rates stabilizing around 6%, inventory is rising, giving buyers more leverage than in previous years.

​Introduction: From “Blaine-tucky” to “Blaine-Edina”

​For years, locals jokingly referred to the city’s rural roots as “Blaine-tucky.” In 2026, that joke is officially retired. Blaine is aggressively pivoting to become a high-end, amenity-rich suburb that rivals Edina or Maple Grove—at least on the east side.

​I’m Jacob Zwack, a local Realtor. I see this shift every day. We are seeing massive investments ($750 million for a new entertainment district) that are fundamentally changing the value proposition of living here. Whether you are looking for a starter home in an established neighborhood or a luxury villa in a new development, 2026 is a pivotal year to enter the market.

​The “East vs. West” Divide

​The most important trend for buyers in 2026 is the geographical split in the market. Highway 65 isn’t just a road; it’s a dividing line between two different real estate realities.

​West Blaine: The Value Play

​West of Highway 65, you find the established 1970s and 80s split-levels and ramblers.

  • Affordability: This is where you find entry-level pricing. These homes are more sensitive to interest rate changes but offer the best square footage for the dollar.
  • The “Sleepy” Factor: These neighborhoods are quiet, mature, and removed from the massive construction projects. If you want stability and trees, look here.

​East Blaine: The Growth Engine

​East of Highway 65 (and specifically east of Lexington Ave) is where the “New Blaine” is being built.

  • Lexington Waters: This master-planned community is the star of 2026. Builders like DR Horton, Lennar, and Creative Homes are active here.
  • The Product: We are seeing a heavy mix of “villa” homes targeting empty nesters and executive single-family homes for move-up buyers.
  • Appreciation: Prices here are higher, but the appreciation potential is driven by the new infrastructure (sewer/water extensions) and proximity to the new 105th Ave district.

​The 105th Avenue “Downtown” Effect

​Real estate values are driven by proximity to amenities. Blaine is building a massive one from scratch: the 105th Avenue Redevelopment.

  • The Anchor: A 250,000 sq. ft. Scheels sporting goods store is confirmed for a 2028 opening.
  • The Impact: Think of this as the “Mall of America” effect on a smaller scale. Homes within a 5-minute drive of this district (entertainment, dining, hotels) will likely see a premium develop over the next 5 years.
  • Investment Angle: Buying a townhome or condo near 105th Ave now, before the vertical construction is finished, is a classic “path of progress” investment strategy.

​Market Conditions: 2026 Forecast

​Inventory is Back

​The “lock-in” effect (people refusing to sell because they have a 3% mortgage) is easing.

  • Rates: With mortgage rates stabilizing in the 6.0% – 6.3% range, life events (divorce, new kids, retirement) are forcing moves again.
  • Selection: Resale inventory is projected to rise by roughly 9%. This means you, as a buyer, might actually have options this spring instead of fighting 15 other offers.

​Price Growth

​Don’t expect prices to drop.

  • Forecast: We are looking at steady, modest growth of 2% to 4%.
  • Why? The cost of new construction is high, which pulls up the value of existing homes. Blaine’s median home value is hovering around $340,000, and the new builds in Lexington Waters are pushing that average up significantly.

​Buying New vs. Existing

​In 2026, the gap between new and existing homes is stark.

  • New Construction: You pay a premium, but you get energy efficiency and no immediate maintenance. Be aware of special assessments in new developments for infrastructure.
  • Existing Homes: You get “good bones” and bigger lots in West Blaine, but you will likely face renovation costs.
  • Tip: If buying an existing home, check the street reconstruction schedule. If the street is due for a rebuild in 2027, you could be hit with a $5,000+ assessment right after moving in.

​Conclusion

​Blaine is shedding its skin. It is becoming a destination city, not just a bedroom community. The construction dust on Highway 65 is temporary; the value of the new amenities is permanent.

​Are you looking to navigate the “East vs. West” market? Let’s find the right neighborhood for your budget.

Jacob Zwack

Sources & Professional Resources:

Jacob Zwack | Minnesota Realtor®

The Minnesota Real Estate Team | Agent Referral Network

Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. This article is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial or legal advice.

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